Rubber hip boots. Goggles. Lobster bib to the waist. Little plastic rain kerchief. Asbestos umbrella. 27 March 2008Posted by marisacat in 2008 Election, DC Politics, Inconvenient Voice of the Voter, Lie Down Fall Down Dems, U.S. Senate.
Prunes… that is what all three are. Prunes.
Suitably attired… I think if we hold hands so no one drowns… we are safe to go to the National Review Online and Geraghty on Obama in Pennyslvania. Or not in PA, as it happens.
When the Democrats, one half of the Eternal Government, start drooling what I call Liberal Sugar, I ran fast to the righties.
If, as current polls predict, Barack Obama loses Pennsylvania by a double-digit margin on April 22, the truly ominous omen will not be the loss itself, but his campaign’s catastrophic inability to tailor its message to vital demographics.
Since the numbers for the Ohio and Texas primaries came in, the entire political world has known [but the Democrats are working hard to keep it hidden… still jamming that glass slipper on his foot! — Mcat] that Obama had to improve his numbers among the white working class, particularly union members, Catholics, and seniors. (Obama has similar problems among Hispanics, but they aren’t likely to be a key demographic in Pennsylvania.)
There simply aren’t enough blacks, young voters, and latte liberals to build a successful coalition for a Democratic candidate in a general election.
Sad, but true!
[Pollster and political science professor G. Terry] Madonna [of Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster] points to the Obama campaign’s recent $330,000 television advertising buy in the Philadelphia market, spread over six affiliates.
One ad‘s message was about Obama’s efforts on ethics reform and his refusal to allow “special interests” to run his campaign or his White House.
Another ad features Republican Illinois state lawmakers praising his negotiation skills and bipartisanship.
The third, a 60-second, heavily biographical ad, mentions workers laid off by steel plants, and tax cuts, health care, and helping veterans, but ends with a note of standing up to “narrow interests” out to “capture the agenda in Washington.”
“Pennsylvania wouldn’t be on anybody’s list of top-ten reformist states,” Madonna notes. “It didn’t strike me as a terribly moving issue, or making a connection with people. It wasn’t a bad introductory note, but it wasn’t the most effective. He’s going to need something else. There’s this theme of ‘change,’ well, change is change. He’s still giving these very rhetorical, generalized talks that sound good but don’t have enough specifics attached to them.”
hmm mm. Big air ad war in Texas too. 4 pt loss… but listed at his site (on the map) as a win. (Counting delegates before they hatch. Or roost.) GMAFB! I have read reliably that had he won TX by a single point (not delegates, which are like tp on sale at Safeway!) that much rumored 50 Super Dels were ready to move to him.. Think of the trauma that night. They did seem to expect to win.
Don’t worry! I have been reading John Morgan (who is still a Democrat and neutral in the race) at PA Progressive as well. And i know he is heading to PA on Friday for the 6 day bus tour. Probably something about the elephants and the Alps is why he is running late…
And I am sure Sully has sent him a perfumed note, on lovely rag paper, asking that he please try to look less aloof. But those glass slippers pinch. They really do.
Here is a real cry with some stress in it, from Morgan:
[P]ennsylvania was an opportunity for Barack Obama to end the nomination process, wrap things up and heal the Party. He has elected not to do so for whatever reasons he and brain trust have concluded.
Why is it that each time he seems to have Sen. Clinton on the ropes he is unable to deliver the knockout punch? What does this say about his prospects against John McCain this fall?
Now, there is a real opening. If Obama can clench his teeth and do something with it: Bosnia (No-Sniper-Gate). HOWEVER! Almost two weeks ago, Duffy and Tumulty covered it in Time, weak squeaks from Obama (I realise he was a little busy). The Time report was even buttessed by a report on Bosnia in Bostom.com. Still weak squeaks.
Buck up Boyo. I just heard his speech in NC from yesterday, a rather passive call for the camps to get on with it. Then do! It is always disconcerting when they flag, appear not to have fire in the belly or go to the Caribbean. No really. I mean that. Don’t do it. Slog on. Between Texas and Ohio he has spent three days in Pa (I got that from John Morgan). Not enough!
Two days after Morgan’s post, a contributor at Pa Progressive who supports Obama weighed in:
[T]o date how many open events has Clinton done in PA? 3, 4…5?
How many open events has Obama done to date? ZERO
Is it any wonder the point spread has risen from 6 to 15? I repeat…..DUH!!!!
I want to see the man and his campaign fighting for the state. I am truly not seeing that.
No doubt the campaigns have different strategies, I would expect that. The Clinton campaign seems to have a clear strategy to go after the big states with lots of electoral college votes that can win her the election. She wants to use those wins to swing super-delegates to her side and gain the nomination based on her ability to garner those states during the general election. That is a fair strategy and so far it’s worked pretty well.
The Obama camp seems to have a strategy based around winning lots of states and the popular vote hoping to swing super-delegates to his side based on wide support across the country. That too is a fair strategy and it too has worked pretty well.
I truly believe Obama had an opportunity to stop the Clinton camp dead in their tracks by winning Pennsylvania and now I see Plouffe saying Obama would try to do “as well as he can” here and people wonder why I’m a little irked????? I would bet that Clinton would not have recovered from a loss in PA.
How do you expect me to react to that statement after not seeing the man do a single open event in the past two weeks and allowing his number to drop from 6 to 15 points down?
Bring on the flaming but take a moment and explain how I’m interpreting Plouffe’s statement incorrectly? Explain why Obama has not done ANY open events in PA in the past 2 weeks. ::snip::
She may be a horror (and she is) but he is weak. Very worrisome – or it would be if it was not a Chinese puzzle game, by now…. But I have to say, after watching this bag of bones faking it as a party … so richly deserved.
last, StupidAsshole dropped off a link to his diary about attending a small dinner for Cindy Sheehan. I have not made it over there yet to read, but am about to:
Here’s my report from a fundraising dinner I attended last night for Cindy Sheehan’s campaign to unseat Pelosi: LINK