Is that oil!? 25 June 2010Posted by marisacat in 2010 Mid Terms, 2012 Re Election, Culture of Death, DC Politics, Inconvenient Voice of the Voter.
Governor Charlie Crist and Barack Obama at Casino Beach, Pensacola, Florida, June 15, 2010 [Jim Young/Reuters]
Is it headed here? Who’s in charge? Shouldn’t somebody be doing something?
(The gulls on the beach were listening…)
Just hearing on the news, Thad Allen saying they have a “very robust hurricane contingency plan”.
HOUSTON (Reuters) – With a storm threatening to disrupt oil-siphoning efforts at BP Plc’s blown-out Gulf of Mexico well, the U.S. Coast Guard on Friday said collection efforts would be suspended five days before the forecast onset of gale-force winds.
A tropical disturbance over the western Caribbean could deal a big setback to efforts by BP to contain oil gushing from the well, estimated by the U.S. government at up to 60,000 barrels (2.5 million gallons/9.5 million liters) per day.
Coast Guard Admiral Thad Allen, the U.S. government’s point man on the oil spill, said it would be necessary five days before gale force winds are forecast to arrive to take down operations involving ships and other equipment siphoning some of the oil spewing from BP’s ruptured deep-sea well.
During this period, the oil could flow unchecked from the ruptured well into the sea for up to 14 days, Allen said.
The U.S. National Weather Service defines gale force winds as 39 mph to 54 mph. When referring to gale force winds, Allen mentioned “about 40 knots,” which is 46 mph.
“Our threshold to begin taking action is 120 hours before gale force winds are forecasted,” Allen said.
Two oil-capture systems siphon oil from the leak to a drillship and a service rig a mile above the well at the water’s surface. Both use fixed pipes that require days to disconnect and allow the vessels to move out of the path of a storm, officials have said.
The report goes on to say it now has a 70% chance of increasing in power…
Currently a Tropical Depression #1, but expected to move to Tropical Storm over the next 6 – 12 hours…
I did see one projection that shows it moving past the Yucatan, to Mexico, Texas. And it could break up over the Yucatan, as well…
BI picks up a report from OilPrice.com. I read it (OP) referred to as a hyperbolic site… hmm this seems pretty straightforward, restrained even.
[T]he winds of a hurricane are so strong that the normal interface between ocean and atmosphere disappears. The winds begin to generate large waves. Spray is blown off the top of the waves. That spray mixes with the air so that after a short time there is no real boundary between what is ocean and what is the atmosphere. If a large hurricane moves over the spill, this chaotic mixture of water and air will inevitably also contain oil. The oil will become airborne and travel with the hurricane.
When hurricanes make landfall the winds push the ocean onto the land in what is called a storm surge. The height of the surge on land is dependent on several factors. The strength of the wind and the rate of forward motion of the storm is critical as to how much water is forced up onto the land. The diameter of the hurricane will also determine how much water is blown inland. The wider the storm the more water is pushed in and over a greater area. If the water is shallow offshore, the surge will be deeper on land. Naturally, the elevation of the land is important as well. The water off the gulf coast is shallow. The elevation inland is only a few feet. This area is prime territory for devastating and deeply penetrating storm surges.
Should a major hurricane push the spill towards the gulf coast there will be nothing that can be done to stop it. No amount of planning or engineering will help. No number of visits to the gulf by the president or any other official will stop the inevitable. The storm surge will drive the water and the oil miles inland. Everything in its path will be coated in a greasy bath of crude. Even the wind may have oil in it. In New England, I have seen hurricanes and tropical storms that have blown salt spray many miles inland from the coast. The leaves of the trees eventually turn brown and fall off. In the case of the gulf it will be oil that will spray the trees, buildings and everything else in the way. How far inland this oily mess will blow is anyone’s guess but it will be unprecedented in its economic and environmental damage. snip
Carry on… The Unified Command has it all in hand.
Read more: Business Insider report from Oil Price
On a related matter: what Our Leaders do on their day jobs. I am so tired of meddling, misguided, interfering “reformers”, I could spit.